Well, while quantity wise, telling from the Killzone site, it's pretty good on that front, but the way the stories are told qualitatively in the games is pretty dull with somewhat dumb dialogue, and the characters aren't great, but they're OK. I'd say they're likable enough, at least some of them. Gameplay wise, you should definitely play them. Three was great, but it was one of those games that you play, and by the end of the year, when it comes to game of the year, you would have totally forgot about it to even consider it, even if it was worth a nomination or two.
The point isn't about awards, I'm just saying as great as the game was, it was kind of forgettable in a sense. I'd say yes, you should definitely play them before Shadow Fall if you're interested, but just remember you're not going to get something amazing from a story perspective. Killzone 2's a superb game, and Killzone 3's great. The overall story of Killzone is actually interesting, I just wish they did a better job at telling it in the games. Shadow Fall won't have cutscenes, it'll be one of those that has you in first person the entire time; I hope that helps it.
Something cool I think for those that haven't played two and three is that Killzone 3 starts directly after the ending of two (though there's a small training section before), and so it'll kind of feel as if it's just one large game. Awkwardly though, some characters aren't in three that were in two, and the voice actors are changed other than Rico, while new characters are brought in that aren't developed all that well. Killzone 3 lacks some stuff that a sequel should, though I can't quite pinpoint all the the little details.
If story is all that really matters to you, you should probably just read up on it instead of playing the games, but I would recommend playing them.
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