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Avatar image for rorie
Posted by Rorie (5450 posts) -

It's that time again!

If any of you were around for the old days at Screened, you'll recall that we used to run a contest called Box Office Winners League when we got the feeling to do so. It's a simple premise: guess how much money a movie is going to make in a given weekend, and if you're the closest guess, you win! There's a bit of skill in it, since box office is roughly predictable, and there are tracking companies that are paid quite a bit to do so, but there's also a lot of luck, since almost no one is able to consistently guess a box office weekend with any degree of accuracy or precision.

We'll have prizes for one premium member (something from the office that we would've thrown away during our move) and a non-premium winner (a month of premium).

Next up: SPECTRE

woof. james woof.
woof. james woof.

Hopefully Spectre's a better movie than Skyfall, because damnwas that movie ever dumb. So, so dumb. I don't have high hopes for it, but maybe I'll check it out on BLU-RAY DISC when it comes out.

The rules are pretty simple.

1. Guess how much money Spectre will make in its opening weekend in the U.S. We'll count all the money it makes through the Sunday after it comes out, which includes the Thursday night previews. Just throw it in as a reply to this post, e.g.: $56.79 million (be as specific as you like). You can check out Skyfall's numbers here if you like.

2. Make your guesses as a reply to this thread, and make sure that they're in by Thursday 11/5 at 9 PM PST/Midnight EST/whatever crazy clock time you have in your crazy timezone. I won't count anything after that. IMPORTANT NOTE: Any post that is labelled as "edited" will be disqualified. If you want to change your vote, delete your original post and make a new one, up until the time limit. Just don't make a million posts trying to read the tea leaves; keep it to two or three at most.

3. The winners will be determined the Monday or Tuesday after the weekend ends, when actual box office figures are released at boxofficemojo.com, or whenever I get around to it. Weekend estimates are often released on Sunday afternoon, but we'll wait for the real numbers to determine a winner. I'll compare that number to see who's closest; over or under doesn't matter. In case of any ties, I'll decide between the entries with either a coin flip or some other randomized method.

4. There'll be two winners. The closest Premium member will win something cool I'll figure out tomorrow and edit in here. The closest non-Premium member will get a month of Premium access.

That's pretty much it! Go forth and prosper, or something. I'll reserve the right to change any of these rules as I see fit before the deadline, but I doubt that'll be necessary. (Don't be a dick and make it necessary, in other words.)

Staff
Avatar image for mike
#1 Posted by Mike (17971 posts) -

$110 million.

If I win, I defer my prize to the next closest person. Just guessing for fun.

Moderator
Avatar image for billmcneal
#2 Posted by billmcneal (1176 posts) -

82.5 million

Avatar image for humanity
#3 Posted by Humanity (18401 posts) -

105.5 million

Avatar image for kma780
#4 Edited by kma780 (1 posts) -

Im gonna guess low:

76 million

Avatar image for philipaubrey
#6 Posted by philipaubrey (12 posts) -

89.5 million

Avatar image for hassun
#7 Posted by hassun (9764 posts) -

Interesting that you didn't like Skyfall. Most people seemed to like it a lot but I thought it was very disappointing.

My guess: $114,876,000

Avatar image for mmgreenmms
#8 Edited by mmgreenmms (35 posts) -

86.2 million

Avatar image for krevee
#9 Edited by Krevee (190 posts) -

101.4 million

Avatar image for lolandorder
#10 Posted by LOLandOrder (27 posts) -

65 million

Avatar image for honkalot
#11 Posted by Honkalot (1034 posts) -

$96.5 million is my guesstimation.

Avatar image for strikealight
#12 Posted by StrikeALight (1257 posts) -

Saw it last week. For what its worth, it broke the box office records in the UK.

Avatar image for conmulligan
#13 Posted by conmulligan (1882 posts) -

$98,000,000.

Avatar image for morchol
#14 Edited by morchol (2 posts) -

95.5 million

Avatar image for cav829
#15 Posted by Cav829 (827 posts) -

$97,578,795.06

Avatar image for coreymw
#16 Posted by Coreymw (278 posts) -

$99.74 million

Avatar image for clairvoyantvibrations
#17 Posted by ClairvoyantVibrations (1616 posts) -

100.5 million dollars, Bob.

Avatar image for alex
#18 Posted by alex (3731 posts) -

SKYFALL is the best Craig Bond and it's not even close.

SPECTRE will do well but considering how soft everything's been opening the last month, I dunno if I want to predict it to beat SKYFALL's totals.

77.5 million.

Staff
Avatar image for finaldasa
#19 Edited by FinalDasa (3162 posts) -

$77.5 million

Moderator
Avatar image for eselhut
#20 Posted by Eselhut (24 posts) -

$81,680,300

Avatar image for dussck
#21 Posted by Dussck (1053 posts) -

Hopefully Spectre's a better movie than Skyfall, because damnwas that movie ever dumb. So, so dumb. I don't have high hopes for it, but maybe I'll check it out on BLU-RAY DISC when it comes out.

I've seen it. I'm sorry, man.

My guess is: $123,456,789

Avatar image for clovy
#22 Posted by clovy (278 posts) -

$86,206,900

Avatar image for monkeyman04
#23 Edited by Monkeyman04 (2782 posts) -

@mike said:

$110 million.

$111 million, Bob.

Avatar image for fredchuckdave
#24 Edited by Fredchuckdave (10824 posts) -

105 mil.

@rorie Skyfall's a great movie /shrug Where else can you see James Bond being uncomfortable next to a male romantic assailant?

Avatar image for mobiusfun
#25 Posted by MobiusFun (232 posts) -

$119.01 million

Avatar image for malarkain
#26 Posted by Malarkain (147 posts) -

$115 million and a gently used penny

Avatar image for dixavd
#27 Posted by Dixavd (2880 posts) -

I liked Skyfall until the final bit in the Scottish highlands - I didn't understand why they went there all alone - so I'll probably enjoy Spectre in a few months time on Blu-Ray.

I'll guess Spectre will do slightly better than Skyfall so I'll say $91 million.

Avatar image for statk
#28 Posted by statk (2 posts) -

$101 million

Avatar image for michaelpeterson
#29 Posted by MichaelPeterson (42 posts) -

86 million

Avatar image for avantegardener
#30 Posted by avantegardener (2355 posts) -

$82,125,000. I personally found it quite underwhelming.

Avatar image for mbdoeden
#31 Posted by mbdoeden (314 posts) -

87.19 million

Avatar image for studpidreal
#32 Posted by studpidreal (15 posts) -

$96,879,660

Avatar image for rjpelonia
#33 Posted by RJPelonia (926 posts) -

$81.26 million.

Avatar image for tfuhrman
#34 Posted by tfuhrman (25 posts) -

96.43 million.

Avatar image for rainbowweasel
#35 Posted by RainbowWeasel (26 posts) -

$89,500,000

Avatar image for huckaiser
#36 Posted by huckaiser (12 posts) -

97.5 million

Avatar image for joker369
#37 Posted by Joker369 (1007 posts) -

92.5 Million

Avatar image for angelus604
#38 Edited by Angelus604 (15 posts) -

$87.20 million

Avatar image for cletisvandamme
#39 Edited by CletisVandamme (2 posts) -

$122.8 million.

Avatar image for dracom
#40 Posted by Dracom (2 posts) -

$84.1 Million

Avatar image for odinsmana
#41 Posted by odinsmana (982 posts) -

$83.7 million

Avatar image for big_boss_snake_
#42 Posted by Big_Boss_Snake_ (48 posts) -

180 $ million !

Avatar image for deactivated-5b031d0e868a5
#43 Posted by deactivated-5b031d0e868a5 (935 posts) -

$84.77 million

Avatar image for cale
#44 Posted by CaLe (4805 posts) -

$102.53 million bucks.

Avatar image for mr__kamikaze
#45 Edited by Mr. Kamikaze (185 posts) -

$97 million

Avatar image for cybexx
#46 Posted by Cybexx (1625 posts) -

Spectre is reviewing way lower than Skyfall so far so I think that will affect sales. Skyfall was up against Wreck-It-Ralph, which also reviewed very well. Spectre is up against The Peanuts movie which isn't reviewing as well as Wreck-It-Ralph but is a much more well known property and is reviewing higher than Spectre.

I say the early UK release backfired on them for US sales since the movie isn't as well received and the people I know who are not really into Bond seem to have no intention of seeing this film. So I'm guessing this will have the Mass Effect syndrome of having a lot of the same people who saw the last one opening weekend see this one.

So my guess is $88.3 Million, it doesn't gain any ground.

Avatar image for clagnaught
#47 Posted by clagnaught (2085 posts) -

$94 million of dollars USD currency

Avatar image for sanchez940
#48 Posted by sanchez940 (2 posts) -

$85,831,296

Avatar image for orbi
#49 Posted by Orbi (170 posts) -

$92.27 million

Avatar image for drdarkstryfe
#50 Posted by DrDarkStryfe (2449 posts) -

I'm feeling something in the $77.5 million range.