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Marino

Is it the shoes?

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Data Dump: GOTY 2019 Staff & Guests Breakdown

How well do the results synchronize? Let's see!
How well do the results synchronize? Let's see!

If you've been around here at any point over the last decade, you probably already know I love stats. You may remember the good ol' days of monthly Data Dumps, achievement tracking, and annual reviews data, but those days are long gone. Game of the Year is one of the few chances we have to put some spreadsheets together these days, so let's do this thing!

First off, some ground rules. Since not everyone decides to do a nice and tidy one through ten list, I had to get a little creative with how to tally everything.

  • A "regular" ranked list results in a total of 55 points available. (1 point for 10th, 10 points for 1st, etc.)
  • If a person gave 10 games but did not rank them, each game gets 5.5 points.
  • If a person gave less than 10 and did not rank them, they still only get 5.5 each.
  • If a person gave less than 10 and did rank them, they forfeited their points available for 10th, 9th, etc. (i.e. a list of 8 ranked is a total of 52 points)
  • If a person doesn't rank their list, but specifically says the last game they talk about is their GOTY, then that game gets 10 points and the rest get 5.
  • If a person (@will) is a weirdo and calls four games their GOTY, then lists seven other unranked games...I made it work.
  • If someone gave a spot a tie between two games, I split the allotted points. For example, if someone put two games in their 1st place spot (10 points), I gave each game 9.5 points. If you can't make up your mind, your choices take the hit. Sorry.

So, what are we actually doing here? Well, what if we good ol' mathematics to determine the site's GOTY rather than hours and hours of arguing? Sure, the deliberations are fun, but if we deployed a spreadsheet, how different would the final results be? As I've said before, I don't necessarily believe this is how it should be done, but it's just fun to compare the cold, hard stats to what went down in that hot, sweaty room.

Staff's Top 25

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The score tally on the far left is "without Matt & Engineering" because they were not in the room during deliberations. When using the cold, hard math to make a list and compare it to what they came up with in the room, this is the score we should use since...that's who was in the room.

As you can see, it's a mathematical tie between Control and Outer Wilds. Technically, Control wins because it had more votes. Everyone voted for Control in some form, while Jeff didn't vote for Outer Wilds at all.

But, more importantly, let's make the comparison to the list they came up with themselves. Nine of the games in this top ten are the same. If we swapped out Judgment with Luigi's Mansion 3, it's be the same list just in a slightly different order. And that's pretty cool!

If Jason gets around to posting a list, I'll definitely update this. Get well soon, duder!

East vs. West

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Some people often wonder what would happen if West and East did their own separate GOTY lists. Well, this is how their separate Top 25s shake out based on the math. If you look at it this way, all the Nintendo fans can thank Jan for single handedly getting Pokémon Sword/Shield and Fire Emblem: Three Houses into the GB West Top 10!

Guests' Top 50

Now let's take a look at those guest lists. There's way more data to wade through with these. And since guests have no rules, I have to get a little more creative with the math sometimes.

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It was tight for a while, but Control easily took this year's crown.

That's all for now. Hopefully I'll have another opportunity to share a bunch of stats in 2020.

17 Comments

17 Comments

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Jinoru

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Very interesting. As always :)

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BaconHound

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Thanks for putting this together! It's nice to see it all in one place.

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thesquarepear

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Great job putting this together!

I wish there were enough written reviews this year that a review data dump might be interesting because the one I read once upon a time was quite informative. Maybe it could be interesting to do one for the decade? "wink wink, nudge nudge"

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MalibuProfen

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Appreciate you putting these spreadsheets together. Fun to look at the hard data and compare it to the deliberations to see whether or not the crew got it "right" (mostly) by conversing. As you mentioned, this year the lists are very close.

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Marino

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Marino  Staff

Great job putting this together!

I wish there were enough written reviews this year that a review data dump might be interesting because the one I read once upon a time was quite informative. Maybe it could be interesting to do one for the decade? "wink wink, nudge nudge"

I did it at 500 and 666. I still keep the spreadsheet up to date. The plan has always been to do it again if/when we get to 775 (MILLION).

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NicksCorner

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Great job duder. Was a excellent summary and I enjoyed it a lot.

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Mezmero

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Nice, this is interesting as always. It's somewhat sad that the science doesn't support Outer Wilds because I think that game is truly deserving but also based on past data that will often happen with these awards. Sometimes you can't really put a number on passion for games.

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chaz934

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I just started Control, but I suspect it would (will?) end up around #2 or 3 on my list. Nothing topped Apex for me and Modern Warfare is the most fun I’ve had with a CoD in a decade.

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JediMasterLex

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You are doing God’s work my friend. This is always the true list to me but I also don’t like the arguing format as it turns into who’s most tired doesn’t care. Thank you again for doing this! I stand with Ron!!

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JediMasterLex

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@mezmero:I feel ya, I think personality has a lot to do with it as well, not just passion. I think Jan and Jason are perfect example of this.

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Undeadpool

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It just occurred to me: I don't think Fire Emblem came up ONCE in the GOTY podcasts.

That having been said: this mostly tracks with what I expected, at least for the staff list. And that's part of what I love about the guests: how wild an unpredictable they all are.

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Marino

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Marino  Staff

@undeadpool: They talked about it for about 10 minutes on Day 2.

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Undeadpool

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@marino said:

@undeadpool: They talked about it for about 10 minutes on Day 2.

That's actually almost more surprising.

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liquiddragon

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Edited By liquiddragon

How far do these Data Dumps go back? I always thought MGSV got robbed but was wondering if that's even true statistically.

Edit:

Ok, was curious so did the math my self. Here is the full spreadsheet if you're curious.

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taufmonster

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It's so frustrating to see how much they didn't like Sekiro just spelled out like that

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hassun

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Love me some artisanal medium data!