Alright, let's get into some real thought on this, I suppose. Hope I won't ramble to much.
I don't think so. With Hashino and the crew doing Re:Fantasy as Studio Zero, I expect P-team to already be in some sort of pre-production on P6. P5 did well, and put them in front of a much larger audience. I think, that this will give them the opportunity to give the games to a new group of people and put their stamp on it as Hashino and Co did with 3, 4 and 5.
Judging by that, there are 2 ways this can go: Either they reuse the engine and do something like they did with 3, 4 (and while I don't think it'll be a year and change apart - hell it already isn't) and we could easily see something out around 2019. If they do a deep dive, which seems like the more likely situation with a new team taking over, then I'd guess we'll probably be looking at around 2020. Give or take a year perhaps.
I think 2023 is really too far out and I'd like you to consider the following:
1. P5 had some hefty development hurdles. They parent company literally went down in flames and they were sold off to Sega, they had to change console generations mid-development completely new engine, etc. That and whatever the hell happened with the localisation.
2. Speaking of localisation, what many don't consider and you might not either is that P5 was actually released in September of 2016. It's troubled localisation just pushed it deep into 2017 for us.
3. Hashino and co might be out and doing their own thing, but that's also been official and announced since December of 2016. At which point they'd already been throwing out some sort of concept video for re:fantasy. P-Studio had new leads assigned to it at this point already and surely they must have been thinking on what to do next with Persona once they got the news. This leaves the entirety of 2017 to be some sort of early planning or even true pre-production for P6, which is what we'd expect them to be making next simply because P5 took off the way it did.
Even with a relatively long, 4 year dev-cycle, 2020 is in sight. At this point, I think a next-gen release is to be expected but unless something major occurs I don't think it should be much further beyond that. Also, despite the whole top crew kinda taking off, I still expect Soejima to do character design and Meguro to do the music since they seem to somehow be able to do everything at once and are also positioned in some meta-studio sphere.
That's my 2 cents, I guess. Hope I make some sort of sense - if any of what I've written is seems unclear please ask away, I probably should be up right now.
EDIT: Ah, also as a quick side-note. They did experiment with engines with Catherine for next-gen - but Catherine is not made in the same engine as Persona 5. While P5 has an in-house engine they developed specifically for it, Catherine uses GameBryo (yup, the same one Bethesda uses for their games). With the bugs Bethesda games are prone to, I like to imagine that they tried it for Catherine to experiment and just went "Nope, not doing that again." afterwards and built their own instead.
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