GiantBet: Tracking GBEast's Descent Into Gumball-Based Gambling

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#1 Edited by ThePickle (4504 posts) -

The whole betting angle with Steal My Sunshine is really ingenious. I want to track the gambles of our Beast Buds as they trek through this 8.0 "Great" Game.

BETTING RULES(as established by the Giant Bomb Gaming Commission)

  • No IOU's; in order to bet a shine, the player must physically own said shine.
  • No betting against yourself, but Pete Rose-style betting on the self is permitted (it's unclear how it will affect their Hall of Fame status though)

Episode 1

Bet termsBetters (Yea v. Nay)Shines WageredResults
Dan wouldn't win squid race on first tryAlex v. Dan1Inspectah Lex wins
SIDE BET: Dan would lose said squid raceVinny v. Abby1Vindog Wins

Episode 2

Bet termsBetters (Yea v. Nay)Shines WageredResults
Dan wouldn't defeat Petey Pihrana (second time) in two minutes.Vinny v. Abby2Dabby wins
Abby would win squid raceAbby v. Vinny1Vindog wins
Collecting 3 coconuts for the island pianta lady would net a shineAbby v. Vinny1Vindog wins
The large crate in Delfino Isle isn't hiding a shineAbby v. Dan1Dabby wins
Dan would die on Satan's Elevator Secret WorldVinny v. Abby1Vindog wins
Alex would survive second cube in Satan's Elevator WorldVInny v. Abby1Dabby wins
Abby wouldn't complete Satan's Elevator WorldVinny v. Abby1Vindog wins
Dan would get Satan's Elevator World ShineVinny v. Abby1Dabby wins
Alex wouldn't get Satan's Elevator World ShineVinny v. Abby1Vindog wins
Vinny would reach the second rotating block in Satan's Elevator secret worldAbby v. Alex1Inspectah Lex wins

Episode 3

Bet termsBetters (Yea v. Nay)Shines WageredResults
Dan wouldn't collect 100 coins in under 10 minutesVinny v. Abby2Vindog wins
Alex would get Secret Beach Cannon ShineVinny v. Dan1Dirty Dan wins
Abby would defeat Beach Cannon secret worldVinny v. Dan2Dirty Dan wins
Alex would defeat Beach Cannon secret world (second time)Vinny v. Dan1Dirty Dan wins
Dan would defeat Beach Cannon secret worldVinny v. Alex1Inspectah Lex wins
Abby wouldn't get remaining 4 Pinna Park red coins in 15 minsVinny v. Dan2Dirty Dan wins
Vinny would climb annoying Pinna Park gates/get broken ferris wheel shine in 5 minsAbby v. Dan1Dirty Dan wins
Vinny would get now-fixed ferris wheel shine in 5 minsAbby v. Alex1Dabby wins

Pineapple pipe would lead to annoying cleaning up beach segment w/ time limit

Abby v. Vinny1NOBODY WINS

*In all instances, the person listed first initiated the bet.

Current standings

  • Alex Navarro: 3-1
  • Abby Russell: 5-9
  • Vinny Caravella: 6-8
  • DJ Ryckert: 4-2

If I missed anything let me know and I'll add it!

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#2 Edited by tnecniv (108 posts) -

Vinny needs to stop gambling his fortunes away on obviously bad bets.

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#3 Posted by fjor (416 posts) -

this is great....you should also write how many stars they all have at the end......yeah abby and vinny make bad bets :D

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#4 Posted by alwaysbebombing (2626 posts) -

This is amazing, I love betting. I will definitely have to start watching Steal my Sunshine.

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#5 Posted by The_Tribunal (457 posts) -

vinny was really just throwing the shines around last episode. i was baffled by how dumb the bets he was taking were, but i guess a show's a show and the bets add something more to it.

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#6 Posted by tnecniv (108 posts) -

@the_tribunal: Yeah, Vinny is a showman to the end and will do dumb things for our sake.

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#7 Posted by OpusOfTheMagnum (498 posts) -

@tnecniv: seriously at least half of Dan’s Ill gotten gains this last episode were from Vinny just offering up easy bets lol.

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#8 Posted by BisonHero (11137 posts) -

I continue to wish that Giant Bomb had a SaltyBet system for betting, especially for a video series like this one. Probably not the best use of site engineer time, but boy would it be fun.

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#9 Posted by forteexe21 (1929 posts) -

Who will start the gambling addiction intervention?

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#10 Posted by CornRPeople2 (66 posts) -

Could you possibly make a Civilization style recap showing the exchange of said shines via color coding over time? Great work thus far!

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#12 Edited by ThePickle (4504 posts) -

Another GRATE episode of Steal My Sunshine!

Episode 4

Bet TermsBetters (Yea v. Nay)Shines WageredResult
Alex wouldn't win squid raceVinny v. Dan1Vindog wins
Abby wouldn't win squid raceVinnv v. Abby1Vindog wins
Dan would win squid raceAbby v. Vinny1Vindog wins
Alex would win squid raceVinny v. Dan1Vindog wins
Abby would get beat Tower Secret levelVinny v. Dan1 of Vinny's vs. all of Dan'sDirty Dan wins
Dan would get "the" shine in 10 minutesAbby v. Vinny1 of Abby's vs. 2 of Vinny'sDabby wins

Vinny donated two of his shines to Dan in exchange for Dan lightly ripping a small piece of tape off of his eyebrows

Vinny v. Dan2Dirty Dan wins

Dan would beat Satan's Elevator World, Timed Red Coin version

Abby v. Vinny1Vindog wins

Dan would get the Timed Red Coin Satan Elevator World Shine

Vinny v. Abby1Vindog wins

Current standings:

  • Alex Navarro: 3-1
  • Abby Russell: 6-13
  • Vinny Caravella: 12-11
  • DJ Ryckert: 6-4
Gallery image 1Gallery image 2Gallery image 3Gallery image 4Gallery image 5

Notes:

A strong performance from Mr. Caravella brought his record to one above .500. It was a tough day for Abby, as she went 1-4, but was able to get multiple in-game shines to mitigate the damage. Alex accepted and offered no bets, and got his one shine early on with the squid race. Despite a candy-induced stomachache, Dirty Dan gained five shines.

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#13 Edited by fetchfox (1708 posts) -

@thepickle: great summary. This is one of the best series they've done in a while.

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#14 Posted by MeierTheRed (5635 posts) -

Doing Gods work.

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#15 Edited by ThePickle (4504 posts) -

@cornrpeople2: Sorry, I blew past this last week without seeing it. I never really understood how those charts in Civ worked, but I will probably do some Excel stuff later on.

WE GOT SHOUTED OUT! Here at GiantBet Inc, we were very excited to hear Giant Bomb East's own Abby Russell give us a shoutout in SMS Episode 5. Speaking of that:

Episode 5

Bet termsBetters (Yea v. Nay)Shines WageredResults
Vinny won't get remaining 4 Red Coins in 10 minutesAbby v. Vinny1STAKES RAISED
RAISED STAKES: Vinny won't get remaining 4 Red Coins in 10 minsAbby v. Vinny/Dan1 shine for each from Abby OR 1 shine to Abby from eachDabby wins
Alex would defeat Nightmare Squid Boss (second time)Dan v. Abby1Dirty Dan wins
Alex would defeat Hotel Lobby Secret World at any point (offered while VInny was playing)Abby v. Vinny1Vindog wins

Current standings

  • Alex Navarro: 3-1
  • Abby Russell: 7-15
  • Vincent Caravella: 13-12
  • DJ Ryckert: 7-5

Final thoughts

Light episode bet and shine-wise. Only five new ones for the crew. Alex has not had a bet since July 26. Vindog and Dirty Dan both went 1-1 on the day, and Abby went 1-2.

No Caption Provided

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#16 Edited by Levatronicia (2 posts) -

So, I also thought this series would be a great opportunity to track some stats. I do alot of data visualization for the hospital I work for, so I thought I would spend some time recording various data points from the series so far and work on a visualization. Its a bit rough and still in a draft state, but I plan to continue adding to the data set as the series goes on.

Steal My Sunshine Tableau Dashboard

Feel free to let me know your thoughts/suggestions on improvements.

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#17 Posted by TehBuLL (798 posts) -
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#18 Posted by ThePickle (4504 posts) -

@levatronicia: zomg this is SO good, congrats duder

Episode 6

New shines: +1 from Yoshi Secret Level (SHINE SWAP Dan (16)<-> Alex (6)), +1 for Ghost Hotel Pool Bullshit (Alex), +1 for cleaning Shine Gate (Abby), +1 for cleaning Pianta Plaza bell (Vinny), +1 from Super Slide minicourse (Alex), +1 for Chain Chomps Unchained (Vinny)

Shine total is now 34

Bet termsBetters (Yea v. Nay)Shines WageredResults
Dangling off the block wouldn't bypass jumping puzzle (Pinna Park Yoshi Secret World)Abby v. Vinny1Dabby wins
Vinny won't make it through the blue gate (Pinna Park Yoshi Secret)Dan v. Abby1Dabby wins
Vinny won't finish Pinna Park Secret LevelDan v. Abby1Dirty Dan wins
Abby will make it to the Secret Level blue gate Dan v. Vinny1Vindog wins
Vinny would finish Secret LevelAbby v. Alex1Inspectah Lex wins
Dan would choke on the Secret Level's final cube segmentAbby v. Vinny1Vindog wins
Vinny will beat Unchained Chomplets levelVinny v. Dan1Vindog wins

Current standings

  • Alex "The Darkness" Navarro: 4-1
  • Abby "The Gambler by Kenny Rogers" Russell: 9-18
  • Vincent "The Italian Stallion" Caravella: 16-13
  • Dan "The Kansas Kid" Ryckert: 9-7
Internet sensation/Threat Jeff Gerstmann rails against the SMS crew
Internet sensation/Threat Jeff Gerstmann rails against the SMS crew

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#19 Edited by Levatronicia (2 posts) -

@thepickle: Thanks! I've worked on updating it with data from this weeks episode as well. I have to thank you as well, as I used your betting tables as a part of my data-set.

I'm currently working on a Murder Island viz as well, it just takes time to record all of the information from the videos, but I should have it out there soon!

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#20 Edited by ThePickle (4504 posts) -

Episode7

New shines:

  • Alex:+1 from Wiggler Boss (Gelato Beach)
  • Abby:+1 for Delfino Plaza crate-breaking mini-game (second time)
  • Vinny:+1 for beating il Piantissmo in a foot-race, +1 for Delfino Plaza crate-breaking mini-game (first time) (SHINE SWAP <-> Alex (17)), +1 Pachinko Shine (SHINE SWAP <-> Abby (3))
  • Dan:+1 for Ground Pound Mirror Slam, +1 for Sand Bird, +1 for Gelato Beach Red Coin challenge, +1 for beating Shadow Mario in Gelato Beach,+1 for Delfino Beach hidden sand shine
Bet termsBetters (Yea v. Nay)Shines WageredResults
Alex won't beat Gel Beach Wiggler Boss in 10 minutesDan v. Abby2 Dan v. 1 AbbyDabby wins
Dan will die on the Sand BirdVinny v. Alex1Inspectah Lex wins
Alex won't get Piantissmo shineVinny v. Abby1Vindog wins
Abby won't get Piantissmo shineVinny v. Alex1Vindog wins
Vinny will win Piantissmo raceAbby v. Alex1Dabby wins
Dan won't get all Gelato Beach red coins in 6 minutesVinny v. Dan1Dirty Dan wins
Alex wouldn't beat Pachinko levelVinny v. Dan1Vindog wins
If Vinny doesn't beat Pachinko, Dan gets one, if he does beat Pachinko, Abby gets two.Dan v. Abby2 Dan v. 1 AbbyDirty Dan wins
Dan won't defeat Shadow Mario in 2 minutesAbby v. Vinny1Vindog wins
Dan would break all the crates in time (second time)Abby v. Vinny1Vindog wins
Vinny will get Pachinko shineAbby v. Dan1Dabby wins
Dan will get a shine in 40 secondsVinny v. Abby1Vindog wins

Current standings

  • A. A. Navarro: 5-3
  • Abby "Abby" Russell: 12-23
  • Vincenzo "Not Vinchenzo" Caravella: 23-15
  • Ran Dyckert: 11-10

Very eventful episode this week, TEN new shines for the crew, and TWO red shine swaps! Alex squandered his high win-percentage (5-1) by taking on two L's early on to Vinny and Abby. He also lost a good chunk of shines to the Vinny swap, but got an in-game shine and currently ranks second. Little Orphan Abby hit the jackpot when Daddy Vinbucks picked her to bestow his 21 shine cup to in exchange for her 3 shines. Vindog himself got three in-game shines, including the infamous Pachinko level, and boasts an impressive 23-15 betting record. Dirty Dan, as per usual, was a lightning rod of controversy. Despite the bombardment of collusion accusations, Ryckert had his second five-shine game of the season.

No Caption Provided
No Caption Provided

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#21 Posted by ThePickle (4504 posts) -

Sorry about the delay this week folks!

Episode 8

New shines got:

  • Alex: +1 for Shadow Mario in Pinna Park
  • Abby: +1 for Watermelon Festival
  • Vinny: +1 for Boss of Noki Bay
  • Dan: +1 for secret Delfino Plaza bird shine, +1 for squid race secret shine

bet$:

Bet termsBetters (Yea v. Nay)ShinesResult
Alex will defeat Pinna Park Shadow Mario in five minutesAbby v. Vinny1Vindog wins
Alex will defeat Pinna Park Shadow Mario in ten minutesAbby v. Dan1Dabby wins
Abby will fail at the Watermelon (breaking the watermelon does not count as failure) Dan v. Abby3 Dan to 1 AbbyDabby wins
Vinny won't get Noki Bay Episode 2 shine Dan v. Abby3Dabby wins
Alex will beat secret squid race in under 39 secs Abby v. Vinny1Vindog wins
Vinny will die on the secret squid raceDan v. Abby1Dirty Dan wins
Dan won't beat the secret squid race Vinny v. Abby1Dabby wins
Alex won't beat secret squid raceDan v. Vinny4 Dan to 1 VinnyDirty Dan wins
Dan will beat the squid race Vinny v. Alex1Inspectah Lex wins
Dan will beat the squid race Abby v. Vinny1Dabby wins
Alex won't complete Hotel Casino water flip-puzzle thing in 1 minuteVinny v. Abby1Dabby wins
Abby won't finish the Casino secret levelsDan v. Abby3 Dan to 1 AbbyDirty Dan wins

Current standings

  • The Wolf Navarro: 6-3
  • The God of Pain Russell: 18-27
  • The DNP Caravella: 25-18
  • The Authentic New Yorker Ryckert: 14-13

Since Ryckert asked, I will also be tracking earned shines (going back to the first episodes) and will also weight the shines based on difficulty. I don't think, for example, Abby completing the Watermelon Festival was as arduous as Dan spraying a fucking bird or the sand.

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#22 Posted by ThePickle (4504 posts) -

Yup.

Episode Nein

New shines

  • Alex
  • Abby
  • Vinny: +1 Ricco Harbor Red Coin Challenge
  • Dan: +1 Pinna Park Balloon Challenge, +1 Ricco Harbor Shadow Mario

Bets

Bet termsBettersShines WageredResults
Dan won't get the 1 up in the Casino Secret LevelAbby v. Vinny1 Vindog wins
Abby won't pop more than 12 balloons Dan v. Vinny1 Vindog wins
Vinny will pop 14 or moreDan v. Vinny1 Dabby wins
Dan will pop less than 16Vinny v. Abby1Dabby wins
Dan won't pop 15 or overVinny v. Dan4Dirty Dan wins
Alex will pop 14 or moreAbby v. Dan1Dabby wins
Abby won't beat the Balloon Challenge Vinny v. Abby1Vindog wins
Vinny get pop 16 or more Dan v. Abby1Dabby wins
Dan will beat the Balloon Challenge Abby v. Vinny1Vindog wins
Dan will not beat the Balloon Challenge Alex v. Abby1Inspectah Lex wins
Alex won't beat balloon challenge Vinny v. Abby2Vindog wins
Alex won't get 18 or more Dan v. Abby1Dirty Dan wins
Dan will beat the balloon level Dan v. Alex, Abby, Vinny3 v. 3Dirty Dan wins
Vinny will beat Ricco Harbor red coin challengeAbby v. Dan1Dabby wins
Dan won't beat red coin version of Pinna Park secret stage Vinny v. Abby1Vindog wins

Current standings

  • Alex: (1-0) (7-3)
  • Abby: (5-8) (23-35)
  • Vinny: (6-4) (31-22)
  • Dan: (3-5) (17-18)
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#23 Posted by Retris (350 posts) -

You're doing great work! This is my favourite thread on the forums, this scratches my statistics itch so hard.

This edit will also create new pages on Giant Bomb for:

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