Ugh, so despite a pretty poor showing at E3, and my general lack of interest in motion controls in general, I have to say the GB videos of Dance Central have me super interested in Kinect.  Additionally, Amazon is offering $30 off Kinect plus one game.  I'm not saying $170 is cheap, but it's just low enough to get me thinking about getting it... plus I have a good amount of Amazon credit from deals and coinstar and stuff.
 
Anyway, my main problem is that I've still seen no direct indication of how good Kinect is at gauging your actual movements and giving feedback.  I've heard vague statements about it being pretty good in Dance Central.  Also, it is so unclear how well this will perform in my living room, since I don't know anything about min/max distance, or how the back wall will affect sensitivity.
 
Also, I've heard nothing about any big Kinect game announcements after launch.  Sure, Fable III might have some support, but I really need games dedicated to the tech to sell me, I'm not switching between control schemes mid-stream.
 
Anyway, this is my struggle.  Dance Central looks fun, and I could use the exercise in "game" form, but I am worried that MS is going to abandon this thing after launch or something.

Ugh, so despite a pretty poor showing at E3, and my general lack of interest in motion controls in general, I have to say the GB videos of Dance Central have me super interested in Kinect.  Additionally, Amazon is offering $30 off Kinect plus one game.  I'm not saying $170 is cheap, but it's just low enough to get me thinking about getting it... plus I have a good amount of Amazon credit from deals and coinstar and stuff.
 
Anyway, my main problem is that I've still seen no direct indication of how good Kinect is at gauging your actual movements and giving feedback.  I've heard vague statements about it being pretty good in Dance Central.  Also, it is so unclear how well this will perform in my living room, since I don't know anything about min/max distance, or how the back wall will affect sensitivity.
 
Also, I've heard nothing about any big Kinect game announcements after launch.  Sure, Fable III might have some support, but I really need games dedicated to the tech to sell me, I'm not switching between control schemes mid-stream.
 
Anyway, this is my struggle.  Dance Central looks fun, and I could use the exercise in "game" form, but I am worried that MS is going to abandon this thing after launch or something.

I totally feel ya Johnnie. 

Luckily, I have a wife who is probably going to buy Kinect before I even have to start stressing out about the inevitable buyer's remorse that would follow (and I thank you for that Harmonix).
 
I'm not worried about MS abandoning it as much as I'm worried about developers not figuring out how to make great games for it, and it becoming a mini-game collection / shovelware pump.

 I'm not worried about MS abandoning it as much as I'm worried about developers not figuring out how to make great games for it, and it becoming a mini-game collection / shovelware pump. "

I think it all comes down how much you want the game vs how much you're willing to dish out on something you may not use come a few months time. For the most part, the Kinect is gonna be bombarded with shovelware because, like the Wii, if you can make a game where general waggles seem to do stuff then you can save your company time and money in development. I think Christmas will be the Kinect's tipping point really. If sales go well, developers may see it as a worthwhile venture and make half decent games for it. If not, you'll just see the Kinect slowly die away, which could ultimately be good for you since you could pick up the Kinect and DC for cheapsies. But yeah, if you're in no rush to play it, wait for Christmas, see how it does, and go from there.

I have this inherent faith that Sony will end up with a lot more good software for the Move

I too am reluctant to invest in either Move or Kinect. I am not a big fan of motion controls in general and the software itself doesn't really appeal to me. The only exception to that being Kinect's Dance Central. Even with the interest that I have in Dance Central it is really difficult to justify almost $200 (Kinect + Dance Central) for something that I may or may not even play that much. The monitary commitment comes back into play again when I have to think about what other games that would be compeating for that $200. Overall I think I'm in a wait and see with both products. I don't want to have another Wii-like thing just gathering dust in my home.