You CAN play Uncharted 4 without playing the previous games, but I probably wouldn't recommend it. Uncharted 4 is sort of a culmination of the other games and references them heavily both directly and through themes and plot devices. I think it will also in some ways make it hard to go back to the other games (1 is already hard to go back to) because it has certain mechanical refinements that are really nice, AND it just looks amazing.
If you don't care about the other games in the series I guess you can JUST play 4, but I'm not sure I'd recommend that fully either. The Uncharted games, more than most, are really kind of hybrid movie/game experiences. There's better combat to be had elsewhere and while I like the traversal stuff, a lot of people don't. A lot of the puzzles are also just lame, though I will say that I liked 4's puzzles more than previous games'.
What makes the games great is A) the graphics, which tend to be both technically and artistically fantastic, and B) the characters, which are among the most realized that video games have to offer.
You will still get to enjoy the spectacular graphics if you jump in with 4, but a lot of the character stuff will seem muted and undeveloped. Elena will seem sympathetic without understanding what's come before, Sully will seem like something of a jerk, and the central relationship in the game (between Nate and Sam) will be less meaningful if you don't understand who Drake is and has been. The whole thing will be flatter and more muted. Plus the Epilogue will DEFINITELY not have the same impact, and that epilogue is amazing if you've played the previous games.
I feel like Uncharted 4 on its own will just be kind of an average campaign with pacing issues (every Uncharted game has pacing issues) and not the great, meaningful, farewell tour it was for people who spent 3 previous games with these characters.
I don't know if it's worth playing on its own for GOTY purposes, though there are some great set pieces and pretty spectacular graphics to enjoy, so it wouldn't be BAD or anything.
To be fair, I hate jumping into series midstream if I can avoid it. I played Uncharted 3 right before 4 came out (I already had played 1 and 2) which meant I played a LOT of Uncharted this year, but it was worth it for me.
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