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Avatar image for rorie
Posted by Rorie (5225 posts) -

It's that time again!

i a cat
i a cat

If any of you were around for the old days at Screened, you'll recall that we used to run a contest called Box Office Winners League when we got the feeling to do so. It's a simple premise: guess how much money a movie is going to make in a given weekend, and if you're the closest guess, you win! There's a bit of skill in it, since box office is roughly predictable, and there are tracking companies that are paid quite a bit to do so, but there's also a lot of luck, since almost no one is able to consistently guess a box office weekend with any degree of accuracy or precision.

The rules are pretty simple.

1. Guess how much money the movie Black Panther will make in its opening weekend in the U.S. We'll count all the money it makes through next Monday, which includes the Thursday night previews. Just throw it in as a reply to this post, e.g.: $56.79 million (be as specific as you like).

The movie so far is getting great reviews, like most Marvel joints, and I’ve seen estimates that the opening weekend could be over 150 million! Who knows! It’s a crazy world out there!

2. Make your guesses as a reply to this thread, and make sure that they're in by Thursday 11/16 at 9 PM PST/Midnight EST/whatever crazy clock time you have in your crazy timezone. I won't count anything after that. DON'T EDIT YOUR POSTS IF YOU CHANGE YOUR GUESS! Just delete it and make a new post. I won't consider anything that has been edited.

3. The winners will be determined next Monday or Tuesday, when actual box office figures are released at boxofficemojo.com. Weekend estimates are often released on Sunday afternoon, but we'll wait for the real numbers to determine a winner. I'll compare that number to see who's closest; over or under doesn't matter. In case of any ties, I'll decide between the entries with either a coin flip or some other randomized method.

4. There'll be two winners. The closest Premium member will win six extra months of Premium access! The closest non-Premium member will get two months of Premium access.

That's pretty much it! Go forth and prosper, or something. I'll reserve the right to change any of these rules as I see fit before the deadline, but I doubt that'll be necessary. (Don't be a dick and make it necessary, in other words.)


Premium: Both @sweep and @bollard got pretty close, with guesses around .5 million off of Justice League’s final weekend total, but Sweep already gets free Premium for being a mod, so Bollard is the winner here!

Non-Premium: @kiwikuku

Avatar image for prismapunk
#1 Edited by prismapunk (3 posts) -

197.4 million

Avatar image for foolybooly
#2 Posted by FoolyBooly (383 posts) -

$172.50 Million

It's gonna be huge

Avatar image for rjpelonia
#3 Posted by RJPelonia (926 posts) -

$145 million.

Avatar image for box3ru13
#4 Posted by Box3ru13 (770 posts) -

$170.6 million

Avatar image for snapdragonstew
#5 Posted by snapdragonstew (9 posts) -


Avatar image for dannyglover
#6 Posted by dannyglover (173 posts) -

$166.8 million

Avatar image for xevabis
#7 Posted by Xevabis (199 posts) -

$200 million

Avatar image for sneakingmission
#8 Posted by sneakingmission (97 posts) -


Avatar image for menseguez
#9 Posted by Menseguez (193 posts) -

$206.9 million

Avatar image for forteexe21
#10 Posted by forteexe21 (1991 posts) -

169.1 million

Avatar image for moseswalker
#11 Posted by MosesWalker (108 posts) -

$210 million

Avatar image for clusterfuuu
#12 Posted by Clusterfuuu (4 posts) -

$175 million.

Avatar image for glrockwell
#13 Posted by glrockwell (15 posts) -

$142.6 Million

Avatar image for excast
#14 Posted by excast (1381 posts) -

162.35 million

Avatar image for theoriginalhush
#15 Posted by TheOriginalHush (29 posts) -

214.2 million! I can't wait for this movie to come out it's gonna be so gooood

Avatar image for evful
#16 Posted by evful (2 posts) -

$187.6 Million

Avatar image for mushroomer
#17 Posted by Mushroomer (17 posts) -

183.45 Million

Avatar image for oursin_360
#18 Posted by OurSin_360 (6080 posts) -

$137.6 million

Avatar image for marcusrocha
#19 Posted by MarcusRocha (15 posts) -

$150 million

Avatar image for yoda1776
#20 Posted by yoda1776 (1 posts) -

174.3 million

Avatar image for onemanarmyy
#21 Posted by Onemanarmyy (3839 posts) -

$126 million

Avatar image for dimes71
#22 Posted by dimes71 (6 posts) -

174.9 milion

Avatar image for donpureevil
#23 Posted by donpureevil (29 posts) -

$157,7 million

Avatar image for smileygiant
#24 Posted by Smileygiant (37 posts) -

$94.43 Million

Avatar image for rayeth
#25 Edited by Rayeth (1194 posts) -

$115.4 Million

I hope I am wrong and it slays all expectations and puts up records.

Avatar image for murtaug
#26 Posted by Murtaug (361 posts) -

$176.8 Million

Avatar image for ildon
#27 Posted by ildon (729 posts) -

$135 million.

Also, you forgot to update the date in rule 2.

Avatar image for gage_r
#28 Edited by gage_r (1 posts) -

182.65 million

Avatar image for jensenj0723
#29 Edited by Jensenj0723 (1 posts) -

173.6 Million

Avatar image for niflhe
#30 Posted by niflhe (115 posts) -

163.7 million

Avatar image for captubaplayer
#31 Posted by captubaplayer (138 posts) -

145.63 million

Avatar image for dialthedude
#32 Posted by dialthedude (27 posts) -

210.54 million

Avatar image for full_bewst
#33 Posted by full_bewst (9 posts) -

218.18 million

Avatar image for flatblack
#34 Posted by flatblack (121 posts) -

$169.69 M

Avatar image for xamon0288
#35 Posted by xamon0288 (22 posts) -


Avatar image for xanadu
#36 Posted by xanadu (1911 posts) -

$158.69 Million.

Avatar image for fatherofwpnx
#37 Edited by fatherofwpnx (2 posts) -

183.2 M

Avatar image for itsjustclark
#38 Edited by itsjustclark (33 posts) -


Avatar image for zordren3742
#39 Posted by zordren3742 (4 posts) -

$95.3 Million.

Avatar image for seantacular218
#40 Posted by seantacular218 (52 posts) -


Avatar image for nux
#41 Posted by Nux (2881 posts) -

$62 million

Avatar image for ht101
#42 Posted by ht101 (2072 posts) -

$170.1 Million

Avatar image for bongchilla
#43 Posted by BongChilla (347 posts) -

152.6 Milluon

Avatar image for andythemez
#44 Posted by andythemeZ (372 posts) -


I feel like I’m going way high, as boxofficemojo barely lists any February openings whatsoever (and the best before-blockbuster-season movie ever seems to be that American Sniper crap at like $90M)

Seems like only ensemble universe crossing ones do so well, as that cringe inducing (Ben) Affleck commercial VS Superman movie did so much better than the acclaimed Wonder Woman. So looking at what obscure one-hero movies do (like Thor on the upper end and Ant Man on the bottom end) and adjust for a bad time of year, seems like it’s gonna be in the low 100’s.

Avatar image for theht
#45 Posted by TheHT (15683 posts) -

Oh shit, is that this week?

$237.4 million.

Avatar image for grimreefz
#46 Edited by GRIMREEFZ (400 posts) -


Avatar image for blackblade500
#47 Posted by blackblade500 (695 posts) -

173.7 million

Avatar image for alvarofaraujo
#48 Posted by AlvaroFAraujo (314 posts) -

193,450,765 $

Avatar image for rdldr
#49 Posted by rdldr (22 posts) -


Avatar image for code3xbl
#50 Posted by code3xbl (50 posts) -

201.8 million