Future of console war

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LRP21

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#1  Edited By LRP21

So in the midst of the PS3/Xbox360 console war, Microsoft and SONY decided to push their own disc based media, SONY pushed Blu-Ray while Xbox360 pushed HD-DVD. Obviously this new media is the future because of the space. Blu-Ray has about 49GB while dual layer HD-DVD has about 30GB of space. Now obviously SONY won the media disc push as blu-ray is becoming a standard pretty soon and HD-DVD failed miserably, now I am very excited about what Microsoft will do as DVD media is becoming ancient. So will Microsoft adapt Blu-Ray disc which in turn will net SONY money or will they try out a new disc based media that is not HD-DVD or Blu-Ray, post your theories below, I really hope Microsoft doesn't still used DVD disc games in their next system
 
P.S I know I am not a great writer, English is my second language, I apologize for that.

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Magresda

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#2  Edited By Magresda

The question is certainly an intriguing one, but you've come to the wrong place if you're looking for console wars. My guess is MS will wait a few years and go all digital. 

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Furyjoell

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#3  Edited By Furyjoell

I'm sure I've seen this thread several times already.

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SuperSecretAgenda

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#4  Edited By SuperSecretAgenda
@Magresda said:
" The question is certainly an intriguing one, but you've come to the wrong place if you're looking for console wars. My guess is MS will wait a few years and go all digital.  "
This seems very likely. I'm curious as to what Sony and Nintendo will do with their next systems though. They might go all digital...or they'll stick to the current system. 
 
If Xbox went all digital, it would be a major FU to video game retailers (IMO). I'm not sure if Microsoft is willing to go down that road yet.
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LRP21

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#5  Edited By LRP21

Imagine an Xbox with 1 Tetrabyte (1,000GB right?) worth of space, and all games are purchased via the xbox marketplace? I'm not sure if this might work as most games will take ages to download and people might not be too happy with that, also cutting the middle man (GameStop), that's harsh lol. I don't see SONY going all digital anytime soon since the blu-ray disc media is still fairly new

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crusader8463

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#6  Edited By crusader8463

 The future of the console wars is the PC. 
 
Eventually they are going to get rid of the disk based medium in general as the industry moves to a purely download only system of distributions for games. When this happens console are just going to be less powerful PC's with big hard drives, and people are going to wonder whats the point in owning one of them. When the system just becomes a low end computer that is controlled by a game pad, and is loaded with tons of restrictions on how you can use it and what you can use on it then why even own one? Eventually it will all come back to the PC platform and every game will be designed to be used by ether a USB controller,a keyboard and mouse or some kind of game specific controller.
 
I'm not saying this will be the next gen, but two or three from now the idea of a video game "console" system as they are today is just going to be silly.

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Skytylz

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#7  Edited By Skytylz

they only backed hd-dvd to slow the adoption rate of blu-ray.  It worked i think because here in the midwest, i don't know anyone with a blu-ray but i know plenty of people with hdtv's.

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admordem

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#8  Edited By admordem

Yeah i reckon digital delivery will be the way. This would also be the best way to counter bluray. MS have always been much much more ticked on when it comes to use of the internet. If us guys in the rest of the world werent so far behind the Americans in terms of internet speed, i reckon that would have been the way for the current generation.

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LRP21

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#9  Edited By LRP21
@crusader8463: Very interesting post bro, but I hope that  is not the case, I personally don't enjoy PC gaming that much because of how un-even it can get with all the new technology available to different people. I like the idea of everyone being on the same playground with their consoles, no PS3 or Xbox360 performs fast or better than the other. So when I play online I know that no one has an upper hand in terms of technology. This is just my honest opinion on PC gaming.
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LRP21

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#10  Edited By LRP21
@Skytylz: That makes a lot of sense, very smart move by Microsoft if this was their goal, imagine if it would've backfired and HD-DVD won the media disc war, lol, seems like a win/win situation
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turbomonkey138

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#11  Edited By turbomonkey138
@crusader8463 said:
"  The future of the console wars is the PC.    Eventually they are going to get rid of the disk based medium in general as the industry moves to a purely download only system of distributions for games. When this happens console are just going to be less powerful PC's with big hard drives, and people are going to wonder whats the point in owning one of them. When the system just becomes a low end computer that is controlled by a game pad, and is loaded with tons of restrictions on how you can use it and what you can use on it then why even own one? Eventually it will all come back to the PC platform and every game will be designed to be used by ether a USB controller,a keyboard and mouse or some kind of game specific controller.  I'm not saying this will be the next gen, but two or three from now the idea of a video game "console" system as they are today is just going to be silly. "
......I guess you didn't get the news that PC gaming is dying
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crusader8463

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#12  Edited By crusader8463
@LRP21: PC gaming wont be as it is today. If/when my above view happens PC's will be a wholly different medium. You will have set top boxes that plug into your TV's and work just like a console does now only with additional options, or a more traditional version like to days. I could see it becoming something like games will be made for two settings in mind, one with high end settings for the traditionally more powerful desktop PC's and a low end setting for laptops and set top boxes on TV's. PC's will be DVR's, video game systems,music players, cable/satellite receivers and a million other media devices in one. They will eventually be so small, compact and versatile that if you want to just have it sitting on your TV you can put it there, or if you prefer you can sit it next to a monitor with a mouse/keyboard and use it as a desktop.
 
They will design operating systems around how people come to use them. They will have a simple bare bones version for people like yourself, and a more robust version for people like me. That's my hope anyway, only time will tell what happens.
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Magresda

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#13  Edited By Magresda
@crusader8463 said:

"  The future of the console wars is the PC.    Eventually they are going to get rid of the disk based medium in general as the industry moves to a purely download only system of distributions for games. When this happens console are just going to be less powerful PC's with big hard drives, and people are going to wonder whats the point in owning one of them. When the system just becomes a low end computer that is controlled by a game pad, and is loaded with tons of restrictions on how you can use it and what you can use on it then why even own one? Eventually it will all come back to the PC platform and every game will be designed to be used by ether a USB controller,a keyboard and mouse or some kind of game specific controller.  I'm not saying this will be the next gen, but two or three from now the idea of a video game "console" system as they are today is just going to be silly. "

Unlikely. For the PC to become the de facto gaming machine it would have to change a lot, to the point where it is more of a hybrid between console/PC. It all comes down ease of use and accessibility. Like it or not, PC's are about as far as you can come from "plug & play", whereas consoles are just that. That might not bother you and me - we're willing to sacrifice time and money to make a game run smoothly, look as good as it can and generally patch up any problems. But the vast majority of people who play video games just don't want to deal with that. Then of course there's the price to consider - consoles are dirt cheap compared to PC's, and even then you'd have to build your own. Which is, once again, not something everyone can do.  
 
Top end PC gaming today is reserved for the hardcore. Before it can take over it would need a drastic change to the point where we wouldn't call it "PC gaming" anymore.      
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crusader8463

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#14  Edited By crusader8463
@Magresda: That's why i said when this kind of thinking becomes prevalent the OS makers are going to start making OS with that in mind. They are going to make bare bones straight forward OS's for people who just want to use them as media devices, and make an alternate version with the features we expect from a traditional OS. They can market them and distribute them as an all-in-one set top box for people who don't want to do those things, and for those of us who always want the latest and greatest can buy an OS on a disk and make our systems our selves. Then every few years they will release a set top box 2.0 with upgrade hardware that people can trade in when their old ones become outdated, or they can drop their boxes off at some tech store and have it upgraded for a lesser price.
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Magresda

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#15  Edited By Magresda
@crusader8463 said:
" @Magresda: That's why i said when this kind of thinking becomes prevalent the OS makers are going to start making OS with that in mind. They are going to make bare bones straight forward OS's for people who just want to use them as media devices, and make an alternate version with the features we expect from a traditional OS. They can market them and distribute them as an all-in-one set top box for people who don't want to do those things, and for those of us who always want the latest and greatest can buy an OS on a disk and make our systems our selves. Then every few years they will release a set top box 2.0 with upgrade hardware that people can trade in when their old ones become outdated, or they can drop their boxes off at some tech store and have it upgraded for a lesser price. "
I know, I didn't see your second comment before I posted mine - you basically said exactly what I was thinking. My point is that at this point it's not a PC in the traditional sense that we know it - thus it would be wrong to say "the PC is the future of gaming". The product you're describing - plug into your TV, bare-bones OS's and bi-yearly updates sounds more like a hybrid between everything we have in gaming today, rather than the evolution of PC's. 
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deactivated-5c7ea8553cb72

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Wait, blu-rays are becoming standard? All I ever see is people buying DVD's.
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LRP21

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#17  Edited By LRP21
@Godlyawesomeguy: 
Blu-Ray sales were up 67% in 2009
 
Blu-Ray player sales up 76% in 2009
 
 http://hd.engadget.com/2010/01/18/blu-ray-sales-were-up-67-percent-in-2009/
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deactivated-57b1d7d14d4a5

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PC wins by default, of course.

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crusader8463

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#19  Edited By crusader8463
@Magresda: I just see it as being the natural evolution of a platform. As much as i hate seeing the PC getting dumbed down for mass appeal, it's just the way our civilization seems to want to go in. Everything is getting made simpler and simpler as it is being designed for the lowest common denominator. While making things simpler isn't bad in and of itself, when you make things simpler by making them more restrictive then you got a problem.  

By your logic if we compared what an original Nintendo does to a modern day 360 or PS3 it would be hard to say they where the same thing, but people still consider them both as a console. Only now instead of just playing proprietary games you can do other things on them. How you play games on the system has changed too, because now you have a basic bare bones operating system that you must interact with before you play the games. When you turn on a PS3/360 and navigate around the cross media bar, and what ever the 360's thing is called, your using an operating system that loads up before you can play your games. Only instead of getting a start menu and a desktop to organize and navigate through to launch your programs you get one that has been loaded with big buttons and restrictions for simplified for use. 
 
What I'm saying is that in the future PC's are going to have operating systems designed to work in a similar format to the way consoles do as i mentioned above, for those people who want it to be simple. While a more traditional user interface will be available for the rest of us who know what we are doing and who dislike a dumbed down interface for interacting with the OS. Both of them will be able to do the same things, only the way you choose to interact with those features will be designed for the intended audience instead of one way for everyone.
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jkz

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#20  Edited By jkz
@Magresda said:
" @crusader8463 said:
" @Magresda: That's why i said when this kind of thinking becomes prevalent the OS makers are going to start making OS with that in mind. They are going to make bare bones straight forward OS's for people who just want to use them as media devices, and make an alternate version with the features we expect from a traditional OS. They can market them and distribute them as an all-in-one set top box for people who don't want to do those things, and for those of us who always want the latest and greatest can buy an OS on a disk and make our systems our selves. Then every few years they will release a set top box 2.0 with upgrade hardware that people can trade in when their old ones become outdated, or they can drop their boxes off at some tech store and have it upgraded for a lesser price. "
I know, I didn't see your second comment before I posted mine - you basically said exactly what I was thinking. My point is that at this point it's not a PC in the traditional sense that we know it - thus it would be wrong to say "the PC is the future of gaming". The product you're describing - plug into your TV, bare-bones OS's and bi-yearly updates sounds more like a hybrid between everything we have in gaming today, rather than the evolution of PC's.  "
Yeah, basically you just described a slightly more upgradeable console. 
 
That's basically what a console is; a set-top-box with a specialised OS that makes it more "plug-n-play," while narrowing down functionality.
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crusader8463

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#21  Edited By crusader8463
@jukezypoo:  Yep. That's what i have been saying. While i don't like the idea of restricting an OS for the sake of simplicity, i would be surprised if this kind of thing didn't happen down the road. The sad thing is that once this kind of thing happens we will no dobt be getting the Nintendo/Sony/Microsoft/Whoever branded version of these things, instead of a one platform that everyone uses device.
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LRP21

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#22  Edited By LRP21
@jukezypoo: I agree, I think what Magresda is describing as these future devices are just the devices of today, We are living in the society of all in one. My PS3 is the only "box" next to my TV, I use it to play videogames, listen to music, watch movies/music videos/Sitcoms. I don't call this box a "hybrid computer" though, I call it a console.
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#23  Edited By crusader8463
@LRP21: That's the point i made at the start though. At what point does a console stop being a console and it being a PC with a weird input device? With the advent of hard drives becoming standard on all modern systems, them running their own proprietary OS's, and them always had being made of the same things a PC is(motherboard, ram, processor, video cards, sounds cards, hard drives) you cant really call them consoles anymore,they are just locked down PC's.
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LRP21

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#24  Edited By LRP21

Hmm, anyway back to the main topic, any ideas of the future of Microsoft games? So far the best we've got is going all digital, I don't think this will happen until we get a faster kind of internet (Broadband can still take hours to download something that's 30GB)

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ninjakiller

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#25  Edited By ninjakiller

 @LRP21:

 
 
Digital distribution is the future, but we're years away from that.  As anyone not in a city in the U.S. only has the choice between dial-up or satellite.  Both of which suck. 

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#26  Edited By crusader8463

I doubt it, but a return to something like a cartridge like in thee olde in days. With solid state hard drives, as well as thumb drives and all those tiny little cards out there you might just see a system run on them. When you go to a store you buy a thumb drive that is loaded with the game and you simply take it home plug it into a usb port and copy it onto your system, or run it form there. That way people who have a good connection just download it, and for everyone else you pick up the card.

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damnboyadvance

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#27  Edited By damnboyadvance

They don't need to adopt Blu-Ray.

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LRP21

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#28  Edited By LRP21
@crusader8463: This seems like it could happen, really good idea!
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#29  Edited By Magresda
@crusader8463 said:
" @LRP21: That's the point i made at the start though. At what point does a console stop being a console and it being a PC with a weird input device? With the advent of hard drives becoming standard on all modern systems, them running their own proprietary OS's, and them always had being made of the same things a PC is(motherboard, ram, processor, video cards, sounds cards, hard drives) you cant really call them consoles anymore,they are just locked down PC's. "
True, but with the notable exceptions that they are made specifically for gaming, cost way less and require no hardware updating in over 5 years. Sure, when you get into the technical part of it they are just stripped down computers, but they are stripped down computers made specifically for one purpose: playing games. Even building your own, a $300 computer won't even get you close to what the PS3 can do in terms of graphics and performance. That's the appeal of consoles, and for the device you're talking about to work, that appeal has to be there. 
 
The sad truth is that hardcore PC gaming is slowly getting smaller and smaller, and the games doing well (such as WoW) are all games with extremely low system requirements and a mass-market appeal. It's fully possible that the device you are talking about will someday exist - but for a hybrid PC/console machine to take over, it has to be as easy to use as consoles are today. 
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BoFooQ

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#30  Edited By BoFooQ

there's no way MS comes out with a diferent disc comparable to blu-ray discs.  either they put in blu-tay players or they wait for what the next gen player will be.   As for all digital the problem is piracy, until they can protect their stuff they'll never do it.
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iam3green

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#31  Edited By iam3green

every console is going to have bluray. sony doesn't own bluray, they own somewhat of it but not all of it.

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crusader8463

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#32  Edited By crusader8463
@Magresda: I disagree completly, and sorry to say your wrong too. There hasn't been a console made specifically for gaming since the n64. The PS 1 was made with the idea that people would use it as a CD player, the PS 2 was a DVD player, the PS3/360 where built with the idea of being an entertainment center that played movies, music, surfed the web and did tons of things other than playing games. The Wii being the possible exception. With every new feature they keep taunting as a revolutionary new advancement in consoles they are just making it more and more like a PC by offering stripped down things that  PC's have been doing. 
 
As for the aspect of needing to upgrade that too is an old way of thinking. The development of new PC hardware has grown to a crawl compared to what it used to be, and the life span of a computer is growing exponentially. If/when we get to a time when what i have been talking about becomes the standard hardware manufacturers will slow down even more so as the marketplace just wont exist for them to make new hardware every year or two, because no one would buy it. Instead we will see more advanced leaps in performance every two to three years, which means we will see a life cycle more akin to what the current consoles have and not this idea that by owning a PC you need to upgrade every aspect of it every six months.
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RandomInternetUser

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I don't think it will go all digital untill at least around 2020.  Anyways, I think Microsoft will either adopt blu-ray or be stupid and stick with DVDs.  I don't think they would try to come up with some other disc when blu-ray has been so successful.

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LRP21

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#34  Edited By LRP21
@iam3green: SONY owns Blu-Ray, 
http://news.cnet.com/8301-13506_3-9874064-17.html
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#35  Edited By OverLord00

Why can't we just get a console with full support for USB devices such as Mice/Keyboards.  Then when you get into matchmaking it knows what control layout you are using, if your a standard player you go into the gamepad lobbies, if you are a m/kb player you go into those lobbies.  Everyone is happy, with a relatively simple solution. 
 
or maybe im just crazy idk.  some games are just more fun with m/kb, while alot of other i can only play with a controller

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#36  Edited By ravensword
@LRP21:

They cant use DVDs next gen. They would be dead in the water before they even release it. DVDs are barely cutting it this gen, no way theyll cut it next. Its gonna have to be bluray because Digital Distribution isnt where it needs to be right now, and if they try making there next XBOX Digital only, theyll fail to.
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#37  Edited By Aetos

I would guess that they will be using Blu-rays. Besides most likely the next set of consoles will focus more on digital distribution. The PSP Go was the first major sign of this.

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#38  Edited By Magresda
@crusader8463 said:
" @Magresda: I disagree completly, and sorry to say your wrong too. There hasn't been a console made specifically for gaming since the n64. The PS 1 was made with the idea that people would use it as a CD player, the PS 2 was a DVD player, the PS3/360 where built with the idea of being an entertainment center that played movies, music, surfed the web and did tons of things other than playing games. The Wii being the possible exception. With every new feature they keep taunting as a revolutionary new advancement in consoles they are just making it more and more like a PC by offering stripped down things that  PC's have been doing.   As for the aspect of needing to upgrade that too is an old way of thinking. The development of new PC hardware has grown to a crawl compared to what it used to be, and the life span of a computer is growing exponentially. If/when we get to a time when what i have been talking about becomes the standard hardware manufacturers will slow down even more so as the marketplace just wont exist for them to make new hardware every year or two, because no one would buy it. Instead we will see more advanced leaps in performance every two to three years, which means we will see a life cycle more akin to what the current consoles have and not this idea that by owning a PC you need to upgrade every aspect of it every six months. "
That may be how it works in theory, yes, but in practice people buy consoles for the games. No one in their right mind bought a PS1 with the intention of mainly using it as a CD player, no one bought the PS2 because their current DVD player had broken and they needed a new one - these were mere perks, second to the games. And while the PS3 is being marketed as a media center, people with little to no interest in the games still won't buy one. Gaming is their main feature, gaming is what people buy them for.  
 
As for the upgrade thing, look at it this way: Your PC will still work and play games after several years without upgrades, yes, but it'll do so at an exponentially slower rate than before. If you want to keep up with what gives PC gaming an edge over consoles - graphics, early adaption of new technology, etc etc. - you need to upgrade every year. Consoles on the other hand, just get better and better the older they are, as developers managed to squeeze more out of them. 
 
Frankly, if I had the time and interest I'd be all over PC gaming - but I don't. I just want to play my games with minimal fuss, and a console is great for that. And once again, I'll mention the price: $200/$300 is almost nothing for something that will play the newest games for over 5 years, and a possible hybrid would need to take that into account. 
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1stCalamity

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#39  Edited By 1stCalamity
@turbomonkey138:  PCGAMING IS NOT DYING. 

Check your facts before you make ridiculous comments like that. The reason there is a myth that PC Gaming is dying is because released sales figures only show retail sales while the fact is PC gaming is going all digitally distributed already (25 million steam users). The sales figures don't show subscription based models of the tons of Guild Wars players, Warhammer Online players, or the 11.5 million WoW players.
 
So when your "IGN" or "Gamespot" says PCGaming is dying off retail sales figures, its is because retailers are not making money off a platform when people are buying the games over clients such as D2D, and Steam.  (steam also has cheap deals on great games, TF2 was $2.50 on Halloween, and currently the THQ complete pack is 49.99 and that is saving you $300 on the price to buy all those THQ games for consoles.)

oh, and also don't even think of replying saying "well, PC gaming is more expensive" when this is simply not true. PC Games are generally 10-15 dollars cheaper than console games which if you buy 20 PC games you will have spent 800 dollars. While if you bought 20 console games you will have spent 1000-1200 dollars for games alone and that does not take into fact the 50 dollar controllers.
So if I spend 1000 dollars on a gaming PC, I may have to spend 300-400 dollars on a new graphics card every 3-5 years, but new consoles can go up to 600 dollars and their generations last 3-5 years as well.  
 
Don't think im ranting, I cant stand when people say the best and most innovative gaming platform is dying when saying that is like saying Einstein was an idiot.
  
The only fun I ever had on a console was playing Conkers Bad Fur Day on N64.
 
-Platypus
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jack_daniels

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#40  Edited By jack_daniels

Our internet isnt good enough yet to download giant 30GB games. Even on a 10Mb/s connection it would take... 30GB/1.2MB = 7 hours.

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kermoosh

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#41  Edited By kermoosh

i haven't really checked out any specifics but...
 
many wii's have already been sold, who else is gonna buy them, many hardcore players hate the wii (nintendo still stuck on mario)
if microsoft can fix the red ring problem, i think more people won't hesitate to buy one, thus an increase in sales (large online community
PS3 as a system is suberb, however there are few exclusives and not many good long lasting games that i have heard about ( though the system itself is amazing, the shift to bluray never happened)
 
so i think wii will still sell, but not as much
xbox could get better with a hardware solution
PS3 is not as big as the other consoles, and may lack the support to rise up

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GreggD

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#42  Edited By GreggD
@LRP21 said:
" Hmm, anyway back to the main topic, any ideas of the future of Microsoft games? So far the best we've got is going all digital, I don't think this will happen until we get a faster kind of internet (Broadband can still take hours to download something that's 30GB) "
Way to ignore what crusader was trying to say.
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StaticFalconar

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#43  Edited By StaticFalconar

In the future, console wars ill be actual wars where the console will go all transformers and try to kill each other. 

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chrissedoff

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#44  Edited By chrissedoff

the pc will never be the dominant platform for video games. why? because piracy.
 
edit: and straight-up downloaded media with no box in stores is at least 10 years away, probably more than that. it might look like we're headed in that direction but there's so many obstacles. retailers still have a lot of influence in the business, so many people still don't have broadband (crazy but true), a lot of the people who do have broadband have bandwidth caps (and these are becoming more common, not less). it worked for the pc, more or less, because the pc was struggling with the retail environment already, so anything would have been an improvement. i don't see the console business rocking the boat when they're making lots of money and sales of dlc and downloadable games have not been competitive with retail boxes to date.

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oldschool

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#45  Edited By oldschool

No Caption Provided
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Zao

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#46  Edited By Zao

I dont think its an issue to be honest the DVD write speed 3x give microsoft a huge advantage while Sonys Bluray player is 1x speed  which gives Sony a lot of headaches which usually end up in them having to install portions of the game to the hardrive to get it to work normally.
 
and then theres the bigger issue of blurays costing so damm much and that most people still prefer to buy DVD's because of cost.  
 
Im sure the next consoles will implement 3x speed Blurays for sure but untill then I think DVD is holding up well.

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Ryax

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#47  Edited By Ryax

NES will rise again to destroy all next gen. its inevitable 

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fripplebubby

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#48  Edited By fripplebubby
@Ryax said:
" NES will rise again to destroy all next gen. its inevitable  "
Actually, Nintendo should totally just ditch the money-sink that is the wii and start making NES games again, except on blu-ray. 2d games that are over 500 hours long to complete...
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Ryax

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#49  Edited By Ryax
@Fripplebubby said:
" @Ryax said:
" NES will rise again to destroy all next gen. its inevitable  "
Actually, Nintendo should totally just ditch the money-sink that is the wii and start making NES games again, except on blu-ray. 2d games that are over 500 hours long to complete... "
sounds like a wet dream
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oldschool

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#50  Edited By oldschool
@Fripplebubby said:
" @Ryax said:
" NES will rise again to destroy all next gen. its inevitable  "
Actually, Nintendo should totally just ditch the money-sink that is the wii and start making NES games again, except on blu-ray. 2d games that are over 500 hours long to complete... "
And just like normal, I would play about 2 hours, buy a new game, play that for 2 hours and so forth, leaving me with 498 hours left to play on each of 106 games.