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Posted by Rorie (2987 posts) -

Wow, it's been a long time since we did one of these!

" know...just hanging out in a dark room and stuff."

If any of you were around for the old days at Screened, you'll recall that we used to run a contest called Box Office Winners League when we got the feeling to do so. It's a simple premise: guess how much money a movie is going to make in a given weekend, and if you're the closest guess, you win! There's a bit of skill in it, since box office is roughly predictable, and there are tracking companies that are paid quite a bit to do so, but there's also a lot of luck, since almost no one is able to consistently guess a box office weekend with any degree of accuracy or precision.

Let's get it started again in 2014! The rules this week are pretty simple.

1. Guess how much money Captain America: The Winter Soldier will make in its opening weekend in the U.S. We'll count all the money it makes between Thursday night and Sunday night. Just throw it in as a reply to this post, e.g.: $55.5 million (we'll count tens of a million, but be as specific as you like.)

2. Make your guesses as a reply to this thread, and make sure that they're in by Thursday 4/2 at 3 PM PST/6 PM EST/whatever crazy clock time you have in your crazy timezone. I won't count anything after that. I'm going to take screenshots of the replies at that point, so don't bother editing your post or deleting a post and trying again later.

The Winter Soldier is Loki! You heard it here first!

3. The winners will be determined next Monday or Tuesday, when actual box office figures are released at Weekend estimates are often released on Sunday afternoon, but we'll wait for the real numbers to determine a winner. I'll compare that number to see who's closest; over or under doesn't matter. In case of any ties, I'll decide between the entries with either a coin flip or some other randomized method.

4. There'll be two winners. The closest Premium member will win a copy of Ni No Kuni: Wrath of the White Witch for the PS3. The closest non-Premium member will get a year of Premium access. This is a brand-new copy of Ni No Kuni, mind you: it hasn't even been opened!

That's pretty much it! Go forth and prosper, or something. I'll reserve the right to change any of these rules as I see fit before the deadline, but I doubt that'll be necessary. (Don't be a dick and make it necessary, in other words.)

Actual number: $95,023,721

#1 Posted by Rorie (2987 posts) -

Amendation to the rules: if I find that you have ever misspelled "soldier" as "solider," you will be disqualified, and I may come find you and punch you.

#2 Posted by shotodrag (39 posts) -

$122 million

#3 Posted by ArbitraryWater (12130 posts) -

$60.4 Million. You heard it here first.

#4 Edited by Moonshadow101 (575 posts) -

$61.875 Million

This number was achieved through rigorous science.

#5 Edited by listerfeend (56 posts) -

$87.5 Million.

#6 Posted by TheGlitchmaster (69 posts) -

82 Million

#7 Edited by nintendofunclub (12 posts) -

90 mil

#8 Edited by Jay_Ray (1133 posts) -

$73.5 million

#9 Posted by fixmeatoastertart (5 posts) -

two dollars.

#10 Edited by AlwaysBeClothing (1496 posts) -

I'm going to cheat and say $80 million. I think it will do better this week than if it were going up against Rio 2.

#11 Posted by mylescox (18 posts) -

$113.22 million.

#12 Posted by Sparky_Buzzsaw (6401 posts) -

65.5 million.

#13 Posted by Mageknight (124 posts) -

Gonna lowball it at $58 million.

#14 Posted by NoRemnants (386 posts) -

$68.3 Million

#15 Edited by TheGlitchmaster (69 posts) -

82 Million.

#16 Posted by Lando81 (40 posts) -

$162.3 Million.

#17 Posted by JJBSterling (218 posts) -

I'll leave the guessing to users who want the prizes more than I, but hooooly crap am I excited for this movie.

#18 Edited by ll_Exile_ll (1937 posts) -

$85.05 million

#19 Edited by fuzzypumpkin (389 posts) -

$110 million

#20 Posted by cav86 (85 posts) -

84.2 million

#21 Posted by TopCat (75 posts) -

$72.345 million my guess

#22 Edited by hinderk (690 posts) -

$75 million

#23 Edited by MariachiMacabre (7100 posts) -

Solider. Rouge. Come at me, dog man!

I'm guessing $40.5 million.

#24 Posted by KyleBsure (74 posts) -

$78.3 million

#25 Posted by Animasta (14728 posts) -

$89.5 million

#26 Edited by bawalo (73 posts) -

$72.25 Million

#27 Posted by FinalDasa (2067 posts) -

$105 million

Moderator Online
#28 Posted by LiquidPrince (16181 posts) -

66.5 million.

#29 Posted by SDHero (46 posts) -

I'm gonna say $47.2 million. Big for April, but I don't think even Marvel does full summer numbers this early in the year.

#31 Edited by wolfskind (57 posts) -


#32 Posted by ghostNPC (793 posts) -

$95 million

#33 Posted by MrMazz (1035 posts) -

67 million dollars

#35 Posted by Outrager (181 posts) -

$85 million.

#36 Posted by fatalflame (105 posts) -

$ 82.6 Million

#37 Posted by Fuwano (157 posts) -


#38 Edited by dobschutz (58 posts) -


#39 Edited by jper415 (24 posts) -

74.3 Million.

#40 Edited by snoojis (20 posts) -

76.46 million

#41 Posted by Kodo_Beast (131 posts) -

$77.5 million.


#42 Posted by bigcess (130 posts) -

$93.25 million

#43 Posted by Lunnington (230 posts) -

$106 Million

It's probably not fair though because I'm a time traveler.

#44 Posted by normanchan (20 posts) -

$91 million

#45 Posted by drowsap (683 posts) -

82.6 million this seems low for marvel but it is coming out in april so Im going a little lower

#46 Posted by battousai01 (34 posts) -

$90 million

#47 Posted by SqueakyFoo (6 posts) -

$86 million

#48 Posted by RonGalaxy (3270 posts) -

My guess:


I'd rather have an extra free year of premium, but Ni No Kuni is cool too!

#49 Edited by BeachThunder (12439 posts) -

100 million yen

#50 Posted by andrew2696 (358 posts) -

$77.4 million.