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_Mattallica

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Mattallica's 2013 Prediction Results & 2014 Predictions

Better late than never. I just remembered I did some gaming predictions for the year of 2013 back in January 5th last year and I haven’t checked the results yet. Last year I got 3 out of 5 correct so let’s see if I can do better or fail miserably! These were posted on this very blog so you can go back and check and I’ll reveal my 2014 predictions after these results. Here are my 2013 predictions.

1. A Call of Duty game will NOT be the best selling game of 2013, across all platforms.

CORRECT. For the first time in 4 years, a Call of Duty game was not the best selling game of the year. Not much to add to this one other than I incorrectly predicted this in 2012 and the game that beat it ties into my next prediction.

2. GTA V will break the entertainment launch record (Overall income in 24 hours).

CORRECT. GTA V holds multiple records and one of them is best overall income in 24 hours. I was entirely convinced this would happen from the second it was announced back in November 2011 due to how high the install base currently is for Xbox 360 and PS3. A worthy holder of the record.

3. Sony will announce the new PlayStation before Microsoft announces the new Xbox.

CORRECT. This is a pretty boring one just because it was a 50/50 shot anyway. My thinking was that Sony would announce first because they wouldn't want to be chasing Microsoft like last time and it ended up being announced pretty far ahead of the Xbox One. A whole 3 months to gain goodwill with the public and it definitely helped create the good buzz the console seems to currently hold.

4. Smash Brothers on Wii U will be officially announced this year. It will NOT come out in 2013.

WRONG. This was pretty dumb on my part. Turns out the game was first announced back in 2011 so this was a silly thing to say. We didn’t see anything or even get a logo back then but it was officially announced by Nintendo at E3 2011 so I was wrong. It didn’t come out in 2013 so I could give myself half a point but screw that, this one was just plain wrong.

5. Metal Gear Solid 5 will be announced exclusively for the new PlayStation.

WRONG. This one I feel slightly unlucky on. We already knew about Ground Zeroes and The Phantom Pain had been shown but was not officially known as a Metal Gear Solid game so this prediction seemed completely unlikely to happen. Then The Phantom Pain was revealed as MGS 5 with Ground Zeroes acting as a prologue and suddenly this wasn't so silly. Unfortunately the game is coming to everything and isn't exclusive so no points here. Damn you Kojima!

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So 3 out of 5 once again. Not too bad but considering they were pretty safe and one prediction had zero chance of being right, I didn't do so well. Here’s the exciting part, new predictions! Here are my 5 gaming predictions for 2014:

1. GTA V will be released for PC in 2014.

Pretty safe one to open things up. I’ve been saying this for over a year that the game would come to PC at a later date. Sort out the launch problems, get the DLC out and then port the game. I feel like if this doesn't happen then something very strange happened to Rockstar in 2014 that stopped it.

2. Fallout 4 will be announced but won't be released in 2014.

OK, so this is extremely safe but I want it to happen so I’m still going to include it. The leaks for this game are getting silly now and there’s no smoke without fire. I can’t see how we get past E3 and this game still isn’t officially announced by Bethesda. Just talk about it already!

3. Rockstar Games will announce their next game in 2014 but it won't release this year. It will be Bully 2.

This may surprise some people so I should give some context. A new Rockstar published game has been released every year since 2008 (GTA IV, Episodes from Liberty City, Red Dead Redemption, L.A. Noire, Max Payne 3 and GTA V). I think most of 2014 will still be focused on GTA V. New DLC, add ons to GTA Online and porting to PC. I do however think towards the end of the year Rockstar will want to tease what they have planned for 2015 and I think it will be Bully 2.

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They have talked about it for ages now and are clearly fans of the franchise and want to make another. Unlike games like Manhunt that never get mentioned, Bully pops up in developer conversations all the time. The team that made Bully then made Max Payne 3, and since that game shipped they seem to be working on something else. I also think it makes sense to release a somewhat safe game as the first foray on the new consoles. They won’t want to dive straight back into Red Dead until the install base is higher so I think Bully 2 is the perfect title for them to begin building open world games on the new consoles and will be lapped up by the hardcore community.

4. A Kinect based, instrument-free Rock Band reboot will be announced in 2014, coming exclusively to Xbox One.

I don’t think I’ve ever heard anyone talk about this as a possibility but I thought of the idea a few months back and think it seems like the perfect idea. I don’t know if the new Kinect is powerful enough to track individual finger movements so you could play air guitar and it know what notes you are hitting but if it can then this could be huge.

Rhythm games were massive at one point and I think if you can remove the need for silly plastic instruments you could potentially have a system seller on your hands. Again, I have no idea if this is even capable but if it is, the potential is insane.

5. Resident Evil 7 is announced. It continues the shitty, downward trend of the franchise and depresses survival horror fans around the world.

I saying this one with a pinch of snideness but I really hope I’m wrong. I hope the next time we see Resident Evil it is a complete reboot and starts things from scratch. New consoles is the perfect time as you don't need to rely on numbered sequels anymore but I can’t see it happening. What I see is RE7 announced, looks even more action-based with machine guns and helicopter crashes and makes me want to cut myself. I love this franchise too much to see it treated the way it currently is.

BONUS PREDICTION: The Getaway returns for PS4!!!

I included this as a bonus prediction as I’m one of the only people that want it to happen but I’m hoping this somehow serves as a self fulfilling prophecy. I wrote a post before about how I think Sony having it’s own exclusive open world crime game could be great for the system and considering they own the IP, theoretically nothing is stopping them. Except the fact that the previous games didn't sell that well and would cost a lot to make but those are just minor roadblocks right? I really hope so.

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So there we have it. 5 more predictions that will make me look very silly in one year’s time. These are just for fun so let me know what your predictions are, however safe or ridiculous they may be. Until next time...

11 Comments

11 Comments

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newmoneytrash

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Edited By newmoneytrash

yo i hope you're right about that last thing because the getaway is a heck of a video game

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BisonHero

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I still think everyone expecting a Bully 2 is crazy. Every Rockstar game needs guns now because that sells. Even then sometimes it doesn't (Max Payne 3 was a pretty slow burn, even if it was eventually profitable).

Bully also sold pretty terribly, from what I've read. Like, over a million because it's a Rockstar game, but not by much.

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Baillie

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That instrument free kinect rock band thing is like the dumbest thing I've ever heard.

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AlexGBRO

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too early for RE 7, i think capcom will focus on something else like deep down for the time and try to let RE take a break

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MildMolasses

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Edited By MildMolasses

@baillie said:

That instrument free kinect rock band thing is like the dumbest thing I've ever heard.

You're not wrong, but I also trust that Harmonix could make something that sounds terrible actually work and be fun. It's the prediction I liked the most

Bully also sold pretty terribly, from what I've read. Like, over a million because it's a Rockstar game, but not by much.

I tried looking for real sales figures and couldn't find much, but between PS2, X360 and Wii (at least according to VGChartz, so who the fuck knows) it looks to be around 2.5 million. If they could make a Manhunt sequel, then they can do this because I want it so very, very much

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Marcsman

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Edited By Marcsman

Pretty good but a Kinect instrument free Rock Band? I don't see that happening at all. Also I think Capcom will go old school with RE7 make it more like RE4 & make co-op totally optional or not at all.

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BisonHero

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Edited By BisonHero

@mildmolasses: I still think the Rockstar that bothered to make Manhunt 2 was a very different company, because they totally would not have bothered to make that game in this day and age.

Yeah, VGChartz exaggerates a bit, but I could believe Bully might've sold 2 millionish, I guess. Still, I don't know that they'd think Bully 2 would be worth their time and attention, especially this long after the first one.

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BaneFireLord

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I don't see Rockstar announcing any new games this year. We'll get a bunch of GTAV DLC, but it's WAAAY too soon after V for R* to be trotting out something new.

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BambamCZ

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I really hope The Getaway gets a sequel... we need more characters yelling "c*nt" in our games.

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_Mattallica

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@mildmolasses: This is why I think now is the perfect time for Bully 2. A game released now on new hardware doesn't have to sell 10 million+. The hardcore community would lap it up. Anything above 2 million, as long as the budget isn't obscene, would be a success.

@banefirelord: I tend to agree I just think if they do release a new game Spring 2015 then they will probably announce it around November this year.

@bambamcz: Here, here.

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Baillie

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Well they turned out well.