A couple of mind games I've been using to decent effect:
If you find you are becoming predictable, or your jump in routines aren't working, a good tactic is to either empty jump (or empty cross up) and go straight into cr.lk, cr.lp, st.lp, fierce srk FADC ultra (Obviously, any combo starting with a low hit works, this just happens to be the one I use). Empty jump to grab is a bit shit, but works a surprising amount of the time.
A purposefully (or accidentally) fluffed step-kick is about as good a time as any to catch people off guard with kara throw (this is pretty range dependent). Fake overhead works well here too. Because he's so versatile, there are so many ways to land his BnBs and his good ol' kara-throw, so you should be hunting for them and trying your best to avoid falling into a pattern (something I'm trying to do a bit more these days).
Got a question though: after landing a combo ending with fireball/EX fireball, how strict is the timing to go into another combo, and is there any specific poke you have to start with?
So, for example, can you jumping.hp, cr.lk, st.lp, cr.mk, EX fireball, FADC, st.lp, cr.mk, tatsu?
I don't have much spare time atm, so can't check it out for myself.
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