http://www.uesp.net/wiki/Skyrim:Skyrim
"Skyrim will feature eighteen skills (four of the removed skills are Hand to Hand, Mysticism, Athletics, and Acrobatics). Sixteen skills have been confirmed: Speechcraft, Alchemy, Illusion, Conjuration, Destruction, Restoration, Alteration, Enchanting, Smithing, Heavy Armor, Block, Two Handed, One Handed, Archery, Light Armor, and Sneak."
Security is probably one of the remaining two skills. The other seems likely to be either mercantile, or a new skill for the dragon shouts. If it's mercantile, then archery might be a combat skill now instead of stealth (Combat - One-handed, Two-handed, Heavy Armor, Block, Smithing, Archery; Stealth - Security, Sneak, Light Armor, Alchemy, Speechcraft, Mercantile; Magic - Enchanting, Illusion, Conjuration, Destruction, Restoration, Aleration). If it's a dragon shout skill, then archery is probably still stealth and the dragon shouts would be combat (can't be magic since there are already six confirmed magic skills). My money's on mercantile (ha).
It seems unlikely to me that Skyrim won't have any bare-handed combat capabiilty in it at all, since they can't just have you be completely defenseless if you for some reason didn't have a weapon in working condition on you, weren't a mage, and didn't know any dragon shouts. However, I don't think they're going to fold it into the one-handed or two-handed skills, but rather they'll just leave it very muted as a last resort means of defending yourself. In that case, the damage of your punches might still be modified by your stamina stat (since it's basically also the strength stat, determining your encumberance on top of your fatigue), but outside of that, I don't see it being given any kind of special attention, and I don't see an item that buffs your bare-handed damage being in the game as anything other than a gag, if at all.
Not that it matters too much to me, since mods will take care of that sort of thing regardless.
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