I don't have much of a preference, but usually if they're going straight for Bison or Chun-Li I can tell they're going to dance all over me. That might actually annoy me more because I wish I was better with both of them. I'd mention Sagat if my success rate with Sakura wasn't abnormally high. I don't have anything against Honda personally unless they're spamming splashes.
Granted, I don't pay much attention to used pricing, but I'd reckon returning it now would net you way more. If money isn't an issue, SF4 has a ton of content to tide you over while improving your skills. It's definitely a case of newer is better.
I'd say Ryu's a safer bet, though an Abel in the stable's not bad. What probably helped most for me was playing a little as everyone and learning some of their ins and outs. The challenges (at least the earlier ones) also go a long way in teaching you the basics. As well, the awesomeness of EventHubs cannot be overstated.
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